Boston & Skegness returned the highest Brexit vote in the referendum with 75.6% of voters voting to leave the EU. In theory this is a perfect seat for UKIP to contest with most voters backing the party's stance on the EU, a Remain-supporting MP and UKIP's 10 councillors forming the official opposition on Boston Borough Council. But the two parliamentary by-elections that followed the referendum have shown that a Leave vote doesn't equal a UKIP vote and whilst a strong presence on local councils clearly translates into more votes in parliamentary elections it isn't enough. It will be an uphill battle for Paul Nuttall despite UKIP's relatively strong presence in the constituency.
wonkotsane is an author at Bloggers4UKIP.
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