UKIP on 11% in Angus Reid poll

An Angus Reid opinion poll has UKIP in third place on 11%, the best result UKIP has had in an Angus Reid poll.

UKIP continues to perform strongly in the south of England and amongst the older generation with an even balance across all social grades - UKIP is a party for rich and poor alike.

Performance in Scotland continues to be poor and as Wales is lumped in with the English midlands it's impossible to say what support in Wales looks like.  Bizarrely, the Lib Dems are still attracting the student vote despite having betrayed the student population over tuition fees.

Angus Reid have UKIP on 6%, put UKIP in infographics

Polling company, Angus Reid, has UKIP on 6% in an opinion poll published today.

Labour are leading the pack with 37%, followed by the Tories on 35%.  The Lib Dem vote has rallied slightly from the doldrums that they found themselves in at the end of last year to 10% with UKIP's drop in the polls as a result of Cameron's fake veto proving to be temporary with a return to pre-vetogate levels.

You will notice that the graphic on the Angus Reid website for the poll result includes UKIP alongside the LibLabCon for the at-a-glance percentages.  Bloggers4UKIP can claim the credit for this, we have been talking to a VP at Angus Reid who has changed the template for their graphic to include UKIP.  Future poll results will include UKIP as a matter of course.  This is a positive and welcome step by Angus Reid who have recognised UKIP's consistent polling.  It remains to be seen whether other polling companies follow suit but we will be having similar conversations with them all.

Meanwhile, the English Democrats' fantasist and chief BNP recruiter, Steve Uncles, has claimed on his blog that UKIP has only 1% support.  Citing results of unspecified elections "in December" he "proves" that UKIP is the 7th party in the UK.  Yet this clearly bears no resemblance to any opinion poll or the results of any of the elections I am aware of that UKIP contested in December.

His "evidence" is of course meaningless because not all parties contest all elections.  The Greens, for instance, contested only one election in December and that was in Brighton & Hove which is unlike any other constituency in polling terms.  The English Democrats contested two that I'm aware of and bombed in both of them.  You could take the results of the by-elections in December and come up with an estimate of electoral support but it would bear no resemblance to reality.  It would be like predicting the results of a horse race by watching half the field cantering around a field a couple of times.  The only reason you would want to use such a small and disparate set of figures is if you want to mislead people for political gain.

Given that the English Democrats - who managed to lose to the Monster Raving loony Party in a by-election last year - don't even appear on his list, it's understandable that their de-facto leader and major creditor (over £26k last time I checked) is so threatened by UKIP that he would spend most of his time trying to discredit the party and its members and supporters rather than trying to sort out the toxic English Democrat brand.

Update:
The Junius libel factory has reposted Uncles' dodgy maths.  It was only a matter of time before this pair of anti-UKIP wasters got together over a pie and pint (or twelve), we can only assume that they're collaborating on their output of fantasies, libels and conspiracy theories.

Angus Reid Public Opinion poll

An opinion poll by Angus Reid Public Opinion backs up the running order from yesterday's  Survation's poll, albeit with different numbers.

According to Angus Reid, Labour are increasing their lead with 42% of the vote, the Tories are second with 33%, the Limp Dems third with 8% and UKIP fourth with 7%.  The SNP are way in front in Scotland with a large enough majority to give them 4% in the UK-wide tally.

The breakdown by region shows consistent support for UKIP across England, not just traditional Tory-voting areas which is further proof that UKIP is gaining true cross-party support.  The highest support for UKIP can be found in the south of England although this doesn't cater for the "Midlands Wales effect" skewing the figures for the Midlands: polling companies include Wales in with the Midlands which prevents an accurate figure for the East- and West Midlands euroregions where there is considerable support for UKIP.  The "Midland Wales effect" doesn't skew the UK figures but it does make them pretty useless for predicting EU or local election results.

The results of opinion polls are just an indication of popular support before party propaganda, BBC bias and last minute bottlers bump up the votes for the LibLabCon parties but the figures are encouraging nonetheless.