Sunday, 14 November 2010

YouGov confirms UKIP closing gap on the Lib Dems

Via Independence Home (newly relaunched, incidentally), YouGov has UKIP in 4th place on voting intentions at 4%, only 6% behind the Lib Dems.

The survey results are actually quite interesting.  4% of Conservative voters disapprove of the ConDem government, 24% of Lib Dem voters disapprove.  UKIP's support is spread evenly across the social brackets, whereas the Tories and Lib Dems are for ABC1's (upper/middle class) and Labour for C2DE's (working class).  UKIP is the only major party with even support across the social spectrum.

Most of UKIP's support is in the south and north of England, excluding London.  Support is at its lowest in London where our immigration policy isn't particularly well received amongst the large immigrant population and in Scotland where our anti-devolution policies, right of centre leaning and euroscepticism don't resonate that well with the mostly pro-devolution, socialist, europhile Scots.  The figures for the English midlands are skewed somewhat by being lumped in with Wales.

This survey firmly puts UKIP in fourth place amongst all the UK parties but it's not all good news.  Plaid Cymru and the SNP are on 2% despite only contesting elections in Scotland and Wales which only account for about 12% of the population between them.  While we continue to oppose devolution, we will continue to lose out to the SNP and Plaid Cymru and one day, even the English Democrats.  UKIP voters are also predominantly elderly, with support amongst the 18-24 age bracket swinging in favour of the SNP and Plaid Cymru.

All in all, this is reassuring stuff but it further highlights the need for UKIP to adopt a sensible and popular policy on devolution.  It's all well and good going toe to toe with the LibLabCon but we have to keep an eye on who's sneaking up on us.

Comments (3)

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While I understand exactly where you're coming from I don't think anyone is actually put off voting UKIP because of our stance on devolution. I think anyone in favor of devolution is not going to vote for what is clearly a unionist, patriotic British party.

I do think we should adopt a more catchall approach is immigration. Some people are put off what appears to be saying 'no' to all immigration. Perhaps we should think about putting limits on immigration but not being too radical, just to make sure we avoid the BNP in blazers image at all costs. ,
1 reply · active less than 1 minute ago
I've got to disagree with you, I know a lot of people who are put off UKIP because of our stand on devolution.
Only voted Conservative thoughI had more agreement with UKIP policies, for one reason and one reason alone;
The lack of body weight, (number of politicians of clout) at the heart of the party.
When a Political Party fully maintains and upgrades our Forces and 'arrests funding decisions from the Treasury', then that party would win my vote, even if it was a Party-of-Four!! (Harking back purely to the number which launched the S.D.P.)

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