It's not rocket science: Vote UKIP

It's just over a week until the English local elections and the ConDems (but mainly the Tories) are starting to panic about the UKIP effect.

The Lib Dems are flapping for obvious reasons - UKIP topped them in the polls for two days last week and the two were level last night.  The Lib Dem propaganda machine (and it's very effective) will be gearing up over the next week to explain to prospective Lib Dem voters just how desperate things are for them.

The Tories are flapping because they stand to lose the most to UKIP.  They're putting out the message that a vote for UKIP in London is a vote for Red Ken.  Desperate times call for desperate measures I guess but it speaks volumes about the Tories.

Let's be very clear about this.  If you agree with UKIP on the EU, on the economy, on schools, on health, on defence, on transport, then vote for UKIP.  Forget about whether Boris or Ken or the Tories or Labour will win - your vote alone is unlikely to make a difference but even if it does, so what?  If everyone voted for the party or candidate they wanted to win, politics would be so much different.

If you vote for someone you don't want because you think it'll stop someone else you don't want from winning you're probably going to end up being represented by someone you don't want.  It's not rocket science.

UKIP level with Lib Dems in YouGov poll

UKIP is back on the up again in YouGov's daily polling, level pegging with the Lib Dems on 8%.

The Lib Dems find most of their support amongst younger voters which is frankly bizarre given their betrayal of English students over tuition fees.  UKIP and the Lib Dems are level on 9% in YouGov's Midlands/Wales "region" and level on 2% in Scotland but UKIP is outpolling the Lib Dems in the north of England.

EU Investment Bank hedges on €uro failure

The EU Investment Bank (EIB) has inserted clauses in a loan agreement with Greek power company, Public Power Corporation, to cover the eventuality of Greece leaving the €uro.

The EIB says that it will insert similar clauses in all its agreements with Greek, Portuguese and Irish companies and eventually with companies from all EU member states. The loan agreements will also be governed under English law (not "British" law as Ekathimerini incorrectly reported at first - there's no such thing, we corrected them) which gives them better protection.

The €urozone and EU are unravelling - the people know it, the media knows it, the banks know it, only the politicians are in denial.

Latest defector to UKIP writes on IndHome

Independence Home has an article from the latest Tory defector to UKIP, Leon French.

French has joined UKIP because it is a eurosceptic, pro-business, low tax party.  He explains that when he first looked at UKIP he dismissed the party as the "friendlier face of the BNP" but has since realised how wrong he was.

Welcome to UKIP Leon.

Geert Wilders brings down Dutch government

The Dutch Prime Minister has resigned, triggering an election after Geert Wilders withdrew support for a €16bn EU-imposed austerity programme.

Wilders' Freedom Party isn't part of the ruling coalition but Mark Rutte's minority government relied on their support to govern.

The Dutch economy is one of the strongest in Europe and their national debt is only 65% of GDP which is about 7 and a half times smaller than the UK but their budget deficit is expected to top 4.7% which is way above the EU's one size fits all target of 3%.

It will be a few weeks to organise an election, during which time a caretaker government can inflict some EU-mandated damage as their neighbours in Belgium found out.

Happy St George's Day

Forget Herman Van Rompuy, The Real Assassins of European Democracy are Judges

Judges and mainstream politicians profess to love the concept of the separation of powers. It is a cornerstone of democracy and was famously advocated by the great liberal thinker Montesquieu.

It was in honour of this principle that in 2010, the House of Lords, which for hundreds of years was our highest court of appeal was stripped of its judicial function and a new Supreme Court of the UK was established. Of course, this measure has little practical effect but so important is the separation of powers principle that we must make even symbolic moves to achieve it.

Yet one Court which has supremacy over our new so-called “Supreme” Court is the European Court of Justice (ECJ) . In the infamous case of Van Gend en Loos in 1963 the ECJ asserted that the EC Treaty created a ‘new legal order of international law for the benefit of which the states have limited their sovereign rights’. This means that, as the ECJ sees it, member states have collectively surrendered a portion of their sovereignty into a new legal entity.

There was certainly no legal precedent for the decision in Van Gend en Loos. The judges merely decided that a new European legal system should be created and they would be the ones to establish it. The case itself concerned a very obscure element of trade law so, at the time, nobody realised its full ramifications.

Of course, the ECJ is not the only “European court” which has been detrimental for British and European democracy, there is also its cousin, the European Court of Human Rights in Strasbourg. Most people now realise this in light of their many recent judgements which defy common sense, such as, the ruling that prisoners cannot be denied the right to vote.

But, what most people don’t know is that the European Court of Human Rights has a very specific agenda to promote.

 The legal academic Francois Du Bois has explained that one of the reasons that English law has struggled so much to adapt to human rights law is that the European Court of Human Rights is based on a theory called “distributive justice”. The theory of distributive justice means that the Court should do what it think is right to achieve a ‘socially just’ result. This gives the court a very wide discretion about how the case should be decided and takes factors into account such as the parties’ positions in society or wealth.

The European Courts have no respect for the separation of powers and are unquestionably political institutions pushing their own agendas. For the ECJ, it is one of European integration and for the European Court of Human Rights it’s the distributive justice of John Rawls. Sadly, complex legal arguments and jargon are being used to blind the peoples of Europe from reality, but it is a reality more and more people are beginning to be able to see.

Julien Conway is Director of UKIP Friends of Israel
Twitter.com/julienconway

UKIP temporarily back in fourth in YouGov polls

The last two daily polls by YouGov have UKIP back in fourth place - a statistical anomaly or margin of error, I'm sure.

Wednesday's poll had the Lib Dems on 10% and UKIP on 8% with UKIP outpolling the Lib Dems in the north of England and midlands/Wales whilst Thursday's poll had the Lib Dems on 8% and UKIP on 7% with UKIP outpolling the Lib Dems in the north of England and level in midlands/Wales.

It's great to see UKIP polling so well and beating the Lib Dems in polling but the regional figures have to be taken with a pinch of salt because the sample is too small.  You need at least 1,000 respondents to provide an accurate prediction which is why the figures can fluctuate by 2 or 3% easily, especially when the numbers are relatively low as they are for the Lib Dems and UKIP.  They are still useful though because they show a trend over time that evens out the daily fluctuations caused by the low sample size and the trend is pretty consistent and good news for UKIP.

I'm sure UKIP will be back in its rightful third place in the next couple of polls, especially if YouGov follow the lead of the other polling companies and offer UKIP as an option alongside the LibLabCon.

UKIP maintaining lead over Lib Dems in second YouGov poll

YouGov have UKIP on 9% and in third place again tonight.

The "regional" breakdown is much the same as yesterday although support in the north is down slightly and support in Scotland is up slightly.

YouGov is still only mentioning the LibLabCon in its headlines and lumping UKIP in with the "other" parties despite half of the voting intention for the "other" parties being for UKIP.

Opinium Research has UKIP on third as well

Another polling company - Opinium Research - has published a poll today putting UKIP in third place, ahead of the Lib Dems.

The Opinium poll backs up YouGov's findings in yesterday's polling that UKIP have overtaken the Lib Dems.  The data tables haven't been published which is a shame because it would be interesting to see the breakdown for the midlands and Wales which YouGov combines into a meaningless polling region.

UKIP in 3rd place in YouGov poll

UKIP has overtaken the Lib Dems for the first time in a YouGov daily poll.

Last night's YouGov/Sun daily poll has Labour way out in front on 43%, the Tories languishing on 32%, UKIP on 9% and the Lib Dems down to fourth place with 8%.

The "regional" breakdown is very interesting.  The area where UKIP has most support is in the north of England where we are on 12% against the Tories' 22%.  Labour is way ahead on 56%, by far it's highest level of support.  UKIP is on 6% in London and 10% in the rest of the south of England - the Lib Dems are on just 11% in the south of England.

In the Midlands and Wales UKIP is on 8% against 5% for the Lib Dems although the true level of support for UKIP in the midlands is unknown because YouGov lumps it in with Wales, producing nonsense results.  Most surprising of all is that UKIP are on 3% in Scotland whilst the SNP are on 46% - proof that UKIP's old anti-devolution policy is not something the Scots will buy into.

The Greens are on 2% or 3% in every polling "region" in England, including London and 1% in Scotland.  This makes the BBC's promotion of the Greens and exclusion of UKIP in London election programming even more indefensible.  For one day at least, UKIP is the third party in the UK.

It's also time YouGov took UKIP out of the "other" section and put the party on a level footing with the LibLabCon.  Despite UKIP being in third in this poll, YouGov's headline was still "Latest YouGov/Sun results 16th April CON 32%, LAB 43%, LD 8%; APP -40".  Survation and Angus Reid both treat UKIP equally, including the party on graphics and in headline figures, it's time YouGov caught up with their competitors and stopped trying to unduly influence elections by promoting the status quo parties.

Pandya's propaganda is scraping the bottom of the barrel

Disastrous former UKIP candidate, Abhijit Pandya, has written a propaganda piece in the Telegraph for his masters in the Conservative Party on "why no decent Tory should vote UKIP".

"Islam is a degenerate religion"

Pandya was the utterly useless UKIP candidate for Harrow in the 2010 general election and then an unmitigated disaster in the Leicester South by-election where he called Islam a degenerate religion and called for workshy muslims to be deported.  At the time he was committing political suicide in Leicester South (1 in 5 people in the constituency are muslims) he was head of research for UKIP - a position that he was forced to resign shortly afterwards.

After losing his job as head of research for UKIP, he resigned from the party and went back to the Tories where they apparently welcome the kind of intolerance that Pandya spouts and that attracts the attention of Islamophobia Watch.  Which leads nicely onto his anti-UKIP rant in the Torygraph.

He says that UKIP is obsessed with "infantile stunts" that do "nothing to curb the powers of the EU".  He says that it is "extraordinary" that UKIP hasn't adopted a strategy of amending EU legislation to undermine "European law".

It is because of the "infantile stunts" that UKIP - and Nigel Farage in particular - are so well known.  Most people in the UK (wrongly) don't take the EU Parliament and its elections seriously so for UKIP to get enough votes in an election to an establishment that most people know very little about in an election most people don't care about takes some serious publicity and if you're not one of the multi-millionaire, state-funded political parties then you will only get that from headline-grabbing publicity stunts.  If Pandya had used some of his time as head of research researching ways to win elections without "infantile stunts" he might have kept his job a bit longer.

It is also because of his beloved Conservative Party that the EU Parliament manages to pass so many damaging, undemocratic laws that undermine our interests.  If the Tories stopped splitting the eurosceptic vote, UKIP would be representing the views of the majority as the majority party in the EU Parliament.  At the very least, if the Tories came good on the eurosceptic credentials they profess to have at elections and followed UKIP's lead in voting against EU laws that are not in our national interest instead of collaborating with their fellow eurofederalists the flow of bad EU legislation could be stemmed.

Pandya goes on to claim that UKIP MEPs have gone native and suggests that they have a poor record on "expenses".  If Pandya had spent his time as head of research researching where MEPs get their money from, he'd know that all MEPs are given the same allowance, paid directly to independent accountants and that there is no system of expenses.

He is uncharacteristically accurate when he says that UKIP is split in the opposite way to the Tories in that they are split on the EU but united on most other issues whereas UKIP is united on the EU and split on most other issues.  The split is quite superficial though and UKIP is becoming increasingly centrist as a result of the healthy mixture of left and right in the membership.  It hasn't resulted in the kind of defections that the Tories are experiencing every few weeks, for example.  If Pandya had spend some of his time as head of research researching the views of the membership he'd have known that.

After that very brief moment of lucidity, Pandya makes the bizarre assertion that UKIP is anti-union because of the recent announcement that the party is changing its policy on devolution from opposition to support.

Thus we have a self-proclaimed "UK" Independence Party that doesn't want a "UK". This is the level of absurdity Ukip operates under. A sharp contrast to Lady Thatcher's handbrake on Scottish devolution in her first term.

It may have escaped Pandya's notice but the Conservative and Unionist Party also support devolution, the only difference being that UKIP doesn't discriminate against England as far as devolution is concerned unlike the Tories.  If it is absurd that the UK Independence Party should support devolution, which is inherently unionist, because it says "UK" in the party's name then it surely just as absurd that the Conservative and Unionist Party supports it when it says "Unionist" in the party's name?  Pandya might have known this if he'd spent some of his time as head of research researching devolution and the Tories.

Pandya says that UKIP is opposed to immigration "in absolute terms" which is of course absolutely wrong.  UKIP is opposed to uncontrolled immigration and proposes a 5 year ban on economic immigration after which economic immigration would be reinstated with a points system to ensure we only get immigrants in the quantities we need with the skills we need.  The Tories, on the other hand, want a cap on non-EU immigration with no moratorium to allow unemployed people already living here to fill vacancies and maintaining uncontrolled immigration from the EU.  If Pandya had spent some of his time as head of research researching his own party's immigration policy he'd have known that.

Pandya moves promptly on to another lie, claiming that the Hamilton's "have been given places on UKIP's National Executive Committee".  Nobody is given a place on the NEC, they are elected to it by the membership.  Neil Hamilton stood for election to the NEC and he was elected to it by a ballot of the membership.  If Pandya had spent some of his time as head of research researching how his own party works he'd have known that.

He finishes off saying that bringing down the Tories would benefit Labour "and another Labour victory is the last thing the country needs".  He's partly right - the last thing the country needs is a Labour, Tory or Lib Dem victory.  All of them are wedded to the anti-democratic EU and committed to establishing a police state and all of them are economically illiterate and fundamentally dishonest.

Every time Pandya puts pen to paper, he shows the full extent of his ignorance and extremist opinions.  Pandya is exactly the sort of person we don't want or need in UKIP and exactly the sort of person who we want to see in the Tories, lost amongst all the other fake eurosceptics and kept out of harm's way.

I'll leave you with a reminder of Abhijit Pandya's description of David Cameron less than 6 months ago:

Simply a lazy, boozy holiday seeking charlatan practising the shallow, intellectually vacant, dark arts of public relations at the tax-payer’s expense to enjoy the emotional Prozac like boost that comes from the self-congratulation of being in office.

Don't let the door hit you on the way out Anhijit.

Osborne offers £10bn to bail out €uro again

George Osbourne has said that he is willing to hand over £10bn more of our money, extorted from us on pain of imprisonment, to give to the IMF so it can bail out the €uro.

Unemployment is through the roof, companies are going under at a rate of knots, services are being cut to save money and the Chancellor thinks that a good use of our hard earned money is to give it to the IMF money laundering operation to prop up the failing €uro.

And this is from a Tory government that fought the last election claiming it was eurosceptic.

UKIP GOODIES FOR FREE MARPLE

Try to imagine a Marple that is true to the real British soul,here are some of the goodies we can have, EDUCATION:- The children of England are not being educated, they are being manipulated in to position.That position is to be brought up with such false ideas that it makes them accept defeat and overthrow of "all they can be" to "satisfactory slaves" unable to complain.What brought this situation about was a plan to change the minds of Britons from being a Christian Nation into being a Godless Nation.All they want now is a good job with good money, all else sinks down in the mind.We at UKIP want to bring back the true moral Briton who have good things swirling around in their minds.and not just good times and money, to achieve this we have to have not just free schools but a "Free pure school" That totally goes against the normal way.Honest true well mannered people with feeling, strength of soul, and clean minded. these are what our Government want to rid the Nation of.If you are not outraged at what we have become,you need to change your mind and go back to the better ways of our ancestors. UKIP council in Marple will attempt to remove tax on fuel for our members and voters. We do not want you to be robbed. let the EU supporters be robbed. UKIP have the theoretical right to "demand" and I will make these demands. UKIP have a right to demand a share in the Police so we can unchain them and defend the town better.for our members and voters.I mean like Police who are not subject to political correctness, this would mean a station in Marple for our own superior Force. The Government have told people to move around the Nation looking for work, at the same time,fuel has gone up public transport has gone up wages are becoming useless they are so low, how do you travel.UKIP will find a way round this problem. UKIP Security ideas to protect and prepare for civil unrest or foreign threat against the town is a visionary one, but cant say more than that. UKIP will organise an ample food bank for those in poverty for the future,I believe this will be needed more often than is. UKIP will have aa special housing policy to make sure nobody in the town is without a roof.

ALTERNATIVE MARPLE COUNCIL

An alternative Council means as follows- We the British people of Marple town are entitled to have a Council that is not subject to foreign demands, if you are subject to foreign demands then you are not free in your own right. you are a defeated town in real terms, because the free English desire is crushed.So, I propose that UKIP be given their own office and run a free English council apart from the Brussels controlled Council.And only for those who vote UKIP. If you do not vote UKIP then I assume you want to be ripped off in the normal way and assist in the overthrow of your freedom. We in Marple do not need a referendum.We need to legally take our rights, it is not illegal to ignore our oppressors, the French do it all the time.I can not be beaten in this legally. Can only be beaten by unlawful bullying by bent officials who are in the pay of the pro EU camps.Vote UKIP and give yourself a chance.