Monday 26 March 2012

Two opinion polls

Another couple of opinion polls are out today - YouGov are putting UKIP on 6% and ComRes at 3%.

YouGov's results are as follows:
Conservative35%
Labour42%
Lib Dem9%
UKIP6%
SNP/Plaid3%
Green3%
BNP1%
Other1%
Respect0%

And ComRes:
Conservative23%
Labour31%
Lib Dem6%
UKIP3%
Green3%
SNP2%
Plaid1%
BNP1%
Other1%

YouGov's figures are much higher than ComRes because YouGov don't include people who are undecided or say they won't vote and of course YouGov's numbers rarely add up.  While YouGov have a pretty good success rate of predicting LibLabCon results, Survation are generally better at predicting election results for all parties.  Perhaps this is why YouGov only include the LibLabCon in their headlines?

There is a Populus poll out today for the Times as well but it's behind the paywall and Populus aren't publishing it on their website.