Showing posts with label Lord Ashcroft. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Lord Ashcroft. Show all posts

Saturday, 25 April 2015

UKIP winning in Thurrock and South Thanet, rogue poll in Rochester & Strood

Two separate polls have put UKIP ahead in Thurrock and South Thanet.

A Lord Ashcroft poll predicts a victory for Tim Aker who, if he wins, will have become a councillor, MEP and then an MP in just 12 months.

PartyPoll %
UKIP35%
Labour30%
Conservative28%

A Survation poll predicts a whopping 7% majority for Nigel Farage in South Thanet. The poll also found that a third of residents in the constituency have talked to a UKIP activist on the doorstep and 1 in 5 have spoken to Nigel Farage.

PartyPoll %
UKIP39%
Conservative32%
Labour26%

Meanwhile, the Daily Mail are claiming that a secret opinion poll commissioned by UKIP shows Mark Reckless losing his seat to the Tories but the party says it hasn't commissioned such a poll. Reckless tweeted:

Sunday, 5 January 2014

Mirror poll shows overwhelming support for UKIP

The Mirror reports on Lord Ashcroft's polling that shows the Tories have lost 37% of their support and that half of that support has gone to UKIP.

Shockingly for a Labour-supporting newspaper, the online poll following the article is showing massive support for UKIP suggesting that Labour voters are turning to UKIP in greater numbers than previously thought.


Sunday, 28 April 2013

Thoughts of a Young Independence member: Immigration


After watching the latest episode of BBC Question Time, I really get a feeling of how Ukip foreign policy is still seen by many people: as something very Nationalistic, and possibly leaning towards xenophobia. It's very saddening, particularly because Ukip is the most global party of the lot - seeing prosperity beyond the regulation fuelled shackles of the EU. Admittedly foreign policy is still quite elusive. There is also a sense that Ukip does not appreciate the melting-pot granted by immigrant populations settling in Britain over the past decades; and this sense is false. I want to differentiate between integrated immigrants and incoming immigrants; as well as assemble some picture of foreign policy, or to the least how I see it.



Yes - Britain is a melting-pot, and that's obviously wonderful as the diversity instilled has really driven our economy forwards, especially in terms of small business which our county has always naturally thrived out of; but mass open door immigration, which brings forth unskilled labour, just increases exploitation. And then there are those who don't work and seep out of the benefit system, as well as getting involved with a lot of criminal activity. Basically, if we left the EU we can get some co-operated skilled immigration from English speaking counties, whose people can integrate. How can we embrace such immigration? It's simple; they've been right under our noses all along. The people of the Commonwealth.



Coincidentally, it has been part of Kippers’ tales for a while now for Britain to negotiate free trade agreements with - our true allies - the Commonwealth under a Ukip government, and perhaps we should go further to establish a military alliance; frankly because it's the best way to uphold a global network which defends against redoubling cascades of threats emerging from the world, and Britain cannot afford to keep it up alone in an epoch of slow growth. That also goes for Britain's - the Commonwealth's - investment in the sciences, and there's nothing wrong with saying we want to be a leading science power once again: it's not looking back because we're a miserable bunch; it's common sense. In the meantime, the EU is an utter fiasco - and Britain must start the process of dismantling it by leaving; and pushing the rest of Europe into a far more flexible, freer agreement in an organisation like the European Free Trade Association, where global countries like Switzerland have cherished for their success.



Moreover, what we have seen in migration descending from EU membership and, bluntly, open door immigration in all aspects, are pockets of societies expanding and drifting apart from Society's mainstream course; and consequently we have seen a rocket in crime, extremism and, (gasp!) artificial Labour tribalism in post-Blair immigrant communities. However, when we look at our previous immigration waves, Commonwealth immigration waves in particular, you see something much more stunning: you see a great deal of respect and concern for the nation, therefore why talks should be held with credible representatives of the Commonwealth community, internally and externally, on how to establish an immigration agreement which makes ambitious skilled newcomers excited, as well as the indigenous population. But it would principally be controlled.



As I write, Lord Ashcroft publishes his ‘open letter’ to Nigel Farage on the Daily Mail, which fundamentally regards Ukip supporters “[knowing] the world is more complicated – a vote for UKIP is a vote against the complication.” This is part of the current wave of smearing leading to the local elections of 2013 where Ukip can feasibly win big; but is only true in the aspect of unfolding the glories of the past – not retreating to the past, where our economy has no chance. The party’s admiration of Thatcher only goes as far as admiring her strength in troubled times, but to attempt to regenerate Thatcherism only demolishes our claim that there is no street Ukip can’t build momentum on; mutatis mutandis Ukip attempts to unify a country previously divided by ideology. And the signs are it's succeeding. Besides, Ashcroft's studies show that a large chuck of the party's supporters are in fact traditional Conservative voters; so this further conveys how out of touch the old establishment are, and the best is wished for Ukip's success in every election.








Tuesday, 26 February 2013

Lord Ashcroft withdraws funding from Tories

Lord Ashcroft has withdrawn his funding for the Tories over Cameron's obsession with "fringe issues" such as gay marriage.  He says that he has given enough money to the Tories and that they're not going to win the next election.

Another Tory donor says that Ashcroft thinks Cameron is too much of a liberal and out of touch.  The Tories say that it isn't really a problem because he hasn't donated to them since before the last election.  He donated £4m to them in the 3 years up to the last election and is their biggest donor, giving them around £10m in total.

Ashcroft will continue commissioning opinion polls and supporting individual Tory MPs and candidates he likes.

Tuesday, 18 December 2012

Tory opinion poll predicts 2.8m votes for UKIP

The news just keeps getting better and better for UKIP with the results of an opinion poll commissioned by Lord Ashcroft showing that 1.3m people who voted Tory at the last election intend to vote UKIP at the next.

Some straws for you to clutch at
Lord Ashcroft
It gets better though - 86k people who voted Labour in 2010 and nearly 500k who voted Lib Dems also intend to vote UKIP at the next election which, when added to the 900k+ votes UKIP got in its own right in 2010, gives UKIP potentially 2.8m votes.

People who intend to vote UKIP find a Tory government marginally more palatable than the alternative by a ratio of 6:4.  This type of question in a poll produces nonsense results though because it forces you to pick a party that you don't want.  These same people also prefer the Cameron/Osbourne gruesome twosome to the Labour or Lib Dem alternative but again this produces nonsense results because none of them have a clue.

Most people saying they intend to vote for UKIP think immigration is more important than the EU and want a return to common sense and politicians listening to what they want rather than spinning bland politically correct nonsense.  UKIP is, of course, the natural home for such people.

You can read Lord Ashcroft's desperate search for a glimmer of hope on the Ashcroft-sponsored Conservative Home website.

Monday, 4 June 2012

Big business dominates Tory donor list

Following our earlier analysis of the Labour Party's income for the 2011/12 financial year, here is what we've found in the Conservatives' accounts.

First the loans and as you'd expect, absolutely nothing from the unions but there is money from foreign companies, including one based in a tax haven.

Lender TypeAmountPercent
Bank£8,356,79265.2%
Company£2,976,61923.2%
Foreign Company£950,0007.4%
Person£263,8392.1%
Tax Haven Company £250,0001.9%
School£21,6090.2%
Party Association£5,0000.0%

The tax haven company is Juniper Trading Equities which is based in the British Virgin Islands and loaned the Tories £250k.  The other foreign company is Medina Foundation which is based in the US and loaned them £950k.  Woodlands Schools, a group of private schools, loaned the Tories £21,609.

Party associations - unincorporated associations set up for the benefit of promoting and raising funds for the party - loaned the party a trifling £5,000 whilst individuals accounted for £264k of loans.  Banks and companies made up the bulk of the Tories' loans with £8.36m and £2.98m respectively, or 88.4% of loans.

Donor TypeAmountPercent
Person£8,576,49457.7%
Company£4,090,58727.5%
Party Association£1,292,168.7%
Taxpayer£497,9573.3%
Lobbyist£275,9001.9%
Branch£90,9040.6%
School£18,0000.1%
Trust£17,2500.1%
Bank£9,7470.1%

The Tories get much less of their donations from the taxpayer - 3.3% compared to 33.3% - than Labour but they do take more from lobbyists and businesses.  Much more from businesses but still nowhere near the amount of taxpayers money laundered through the unions to Labour.  Donations from party associations are interesting - almost £1.3m was raised by commercial ventures set up solely for the purposes of promoting and funding the Conservative Party.

The Arbuthnot Banking Group donated £84,300 through its bank and subsidiary, Flowidea and loaned the Tories a whopping £5m in 2009 which is still outstanding.  The loan attracts interest at 3% above base which  will be attracting something in the region of £25k per year in interest.  That buys a whole lot of influence for Chairman, Henry Angest who already has direct influence at Westminster through Arbuthnot Latham & Co which is an Accepting House and has a seat on a Treasury/Bank of England policy committee.

Bestway Cash & Carry has been very generous, donating £77,950 to the Tories in the 2011/12 financial year.  Chairman of Bestway, Sir Pervez Anwar, also owns the second largest bank in Pakistan whose UK operation is one of the biggest providers of Islamic banking in the UK.  Lord Ashcroft hasn't been quite as generous but still retains his top spot on the Tory donors list helped along by his trifling £36,500 in donations.

Scottish special interest lobbyists donated £267,900 - a disproportionately large percentage of the Scottish Conservative & Unionist Party's income and goes some way to explaining why Scottish interests are so disproportionately high on David Cameron's agenda.  Whilst only one tenth of the amount received by Labour, the Tories received a not inconsiderable half a million from the taxpayer which weighed in at 3.3% of their donations for the 2011/12 financial year.